Bitcoin Price Analysis: Upward Drift Continues Following Established Macro Support

By Bitcoin SchmitcoinCopyedit by Ashley LachanceSince mid-February, the bitcoin market has continued to drift upward toward a band of strong, macro resistance (shown below as a red band). This slow, drift upward marks our fourth test of the resistance zone and, unlike the three prior tests, our rejection of the level has shown a weakness on the side of the bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth RejectionIf we compare the three prior rejections (labeled 1, 2 and 3), we see that the move into this resistance level was violent — and had equally violent rejections. Our fourth attempt, however, was brought into the level on low volatility and saw a weak rejection.In addition, we are displaying our first sign of support above a crucial level in our market structure (outlined below in black):Figure 2: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Current Rejection Finally Finding SupportThis black, outlined level is significant level as it represents the first macro support/resistance flip at this level. This represents our first time withstanding a rejection of the red zone while maintaining the support of the black level. If we look a bit closer, we can see the formation of what appears to be a reaccumulation trading range that is currently finding support in the upper boundary of the range:Figure 3: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Low Time Frame Trading RangeOne identifying characteristic of this trading range is the shakeout to the bottom side of t...